
Diabetes
Diabetes affects around 1 in 14 people in the UK. It is also one of the few non-communicable diseases where a UK randomised trial has shown type 2 diabetes can be put into remission.
- Almost 6 million
people in the UK are living with diabetes — an all-time high; 4.7 million have a diagnosis.
- Around 90%
of people with a diabetes diagnosis have type 2 diabetes; around 8% have type 1.
- 46%
of intervention-group participants achieved remission of type 2 diabetes at 12 months in DiRECT.
Source: Lancet, 2018
- ≈ 21%
reduction in diabetes-related deaths per 1% fall in HbA1c (UKPDS).
Source: UKPDS, 1998
What diabetes actually is
Diabetes mellitus is a group of metabolic disorders characterised by chronic hyperglycaemia resulting from defects in insulin secretion, insulin action, or both. Type 1 diabetes is an autoimmune destruction of pancreatic β-cells producing absolute insulin deficiency. Type 2 diabetes — around 90% of UK cases — is driven by insulin resistance combined with progressive β-cell failure, and is strongly linked to overweight, physical inactivity and ageing.[1]Diabetes UK[2]NHS
A growing population-level problem
Diabetes UK estimates that around 5.6 million people in the UK are living with diabetes, including approximately 4.4 million diagnosed cases and an estimated 1.2 million undiagnosed — meaning about 1 in 14 people overall, rising to roughly 1 in 10 of those aged 40+. A further 6.3 million UK adults are at increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes.[1]Diabetes UK
The NHS spends approximately £10 billion a year on diabetes care — around 10% of its total budget — most of it on managing complications.[1]Diabetes UK
The UK cut-offs
NICE guidance, aligned with WHO criteria, defines diabetes by any one of:
- HbA1c ≥ 48 mmol/mol (6.5%), or
- Fasting plasma glucose ≥ 7.0 mmol/L, or
- Random plasma glucose ≥ 11.1 mmol/L with classic symptoms, or
- 2-hour plasma glucose ≥ 11.1 mmol/L during a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test.
Non-diabetic hyperglycaemia (prediabetes) is defined in the UK as HbA1c 42–47 mmol/mol (6.0–6.4%) or fasting glucose 5.5–6.9 mmol/L — the threshold for referral into the NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme.[3]NICE NG28[5]NHS England DPP
Why HbA1c control matters
Sustained hyperglycaemia damages blood vessels and nerves, driving the major complications: cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, diabetic retinopathy (the most common cause of preventable sight loss in working-age UK adults), peripheral neuropathy and lower-limb amputation. The landmark UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) showed that each 1% reduction in HbA1c was associated with a ~21% reduction in diabetes-related deaths and a ~37% reduction in microvascular complications.[7]UKPDS, 1998
The National Diabetes Audit reports how UK services perform against NICE's eight care processes (HbA1c, BP, cholesterol, BMI, smoking, creatinine, urine ACR and foot exam) and the three treatment targets — and where outcome gaps remain.[8]National Diabetes Audit
The NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme
England's Healthier You: NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme is the first at-scale national programme of its kind. Adults at high risk are referred to a 9-month behavioural intervention focused on diet, weight loss and physical activity. Published evaluations show clinically meaningful reductions in weight and HbA1c, and lower incidence of type 2 diabetes among completers, consistent with the trial evidence base.[5]NHS England DPP
Type 2 diabetes is not always permanent
The UK DiRECT trial randomised primary-care patients with type 2 diabetes (duration ≤6 years) to a structured weight-management programme (total diet replacement followed by food reintroduction and long-term support) or usual care. At 12 months, 46% of the intervention group achieved diabetes remission — defined as HbA1c < 6.5% without glucose-lowering medication — rising to 86% among those who lost ≥15 kg. This evidence underpins the NHS Type 2 Diabetes Path to Remission programme.[6]DiRECT, Lancet 2018
Evidence-aligned self-management
- Achieve and maintain a healthy weight; even 5–10% loss substantially improves glycaemia.
- At least 150 minutes per week of moderate-intensity activity, plus 2 resistance sessions (UK CMOs).
- Dietary patterns emphasising whole grains, pulses, vegetables, nuts and unsaturated fats — including Mediterranean-style and lower-carbohydrate options — are explicitly supported by NICE NG28.
- Do not smoke; stay within the 14-unit alcohol guideline; prioritise 7+ hours of sleep.
- Attend all eight annual NICE care processes — including retinal screening and foot review.
Summarised from NICE NG28 / NG17 and NHS guidance.[3]NICE NG28[4]NICE NG17
- [1] Diabetes UK. How many people in the UK have diabetes? · 2024/25
- [2] NHS. Diabetes — overview · 2024
- [3] NICE. Type 2 diabetes in adults: management — NG28 · 2022
- [4] NICE. Type 1 diabetes in adults: diagnosis and management — NG17 · 2022
- [5] NHS England. NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme (Healthier You) · 2024
- [6] Lean et al., The Lancet (DiRECT trial). Primary care-led weight management for remission of type 2 diabetes (DiRECT): an open-label, cluster-randomised trial · 2018
- [7] UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Group, The Lancet. Intensive blood-glucose control with sulphonylureas or insulin compared with conventional treatment · 1998
- [8] NHS Digital. National Diabetes Audit, England and Wales — annual report · 2024
